A Study on Adult Mortality in Developing Countries in the Year 2015

Ayooluwaposi Olomo
4 min readAug 8, 2023

An insight into factors related to the high adult mortality rate in developing countries

INTRODUCTION

Adult Mortality according to the World Health Organization (WHO), is the probability of dying between the ages of 15 and 60. It is represented per 1000 population. For example in 2015, the adult mortality rate in Nigeria was 344, which means that out of 1000 adults in Nigeria, 344 will die before they turn 61.

HYPOTHESIS

The purpose of this report was to answer the following questions:

  1. How many developing countries are in my dataset?
  2. What are the 3 countries with the highest adult mortality rate?
  3. Is the GDP of a country related to its adult mortality rate?
  4. Is there a relationship between HIV/AIDS live births and a country’s adult mortality rate?

DATA

The data is sourced from the Kaggle dataset website and claims to be from WHO. The data contains information on factors related to the life expectancy of every country in the world from the year 2000 to the year 2015. Below is a link to the dataset:

Life Expectancy (WHO) | Kaggle

Terms

A dashboard on adult mortality of Developing Countries in the Year 2015

RESULTS

In the year 2015:

  • There are 151 developing countries
  • The following countries have the highest Adult Mortality rate in descending order:

a. Lesotho (484)

b. Sierra Leone (413)

c. Côte d’Ivoire (397)

  • The higher the GDP of a country, the lower its Adult Mortality rate.
Adult Mortality based on GDP

Qatar, Canada & France have the highest GDPs among developing countries but all have Adult Mortality rates of < 80 which is extremely low.

  • Deaths by HIV/AIDS live births have a positive relation to Adult Mortality.

A live birth is a birth in which the baby shows signs of being alive: crying, having a heartbeat, etc. With time some of these children (age 0 - 4) die due to contracting HIV from their mother during pregnancy.

It is important to note that both the children and their parents have HIV, so if more children are dying due to this disease, it means more adults have HIV. And HIV/AIDS is a disease well known for its high mortality rate.

Adult Mortality based on HIV/AIDS live birth

CONCLUSION

Adult Mortality is something that a country takes very seriously as it affects the health of its citizens and therefore the economy and prosperity of the country.

NEXT STEPS

  • Government officials need to set up policies and regulations that will lead to an increase in jobs thereby increasing their country’s GDP. They should focus on policies that encourage local businesses and the export of their output products. The government can also ban the import of certain goods and encourage citizens to buy local alternatives of such goods.
  • In an effort to eradicate the spread of HIV/AIDS, there should be awareness programs targeting youths and young adults on the importance of safe sex and how to test for sexually transmitted diseases.
  • There should also be provision of free antiretroviral therapy for children and adults (especially mothers) infected with HIV.
  • Mothers should also be educated on the different ways to reduce the risk of passing HIV to their child (unborn and born)

REFERENCES

  1. who.int
  2. https://www.vinmec.com/en/news/health-news/pediatrics/how-long-do-children-with-hiv-live-without-treatment/#:~:text=By%20the%20time%20of%202,until%20the%20age%20of%201.
  3. https://www.nhs.uk/common-health-questions/pregnancy/can-hiv-be-passed-to-an-unborn-baby-in-pregnancy-or-through-breastfeeding/

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Ayooluwaposi Olomo

Machine Learning Engineer who is madly in love with ML and currently on a journey to find her place in the industry.